Thanks for that....I was referring to real money flows within the interbank market...but as a logical guide for home traders your advice is sound.......
agadir anis 01:23:04 GMT - 08/24/2010
If the market fails to bounce at 81.50 (chfjpy) then it is doom and gloom (risk aversion will accelerate pace) and jpy will continue to strenghten
AGADIR anis 01:16:57 GMT - 08/24/2010
As I said, you need to be careful at present level chfjpy is down; any retracement up will send cadjpy higher. Best thing to do is to pounce a buy signal on usdcad then you can go short cadjpy because usdcad and cadjpy trade inversly.
tokyo rana 01:13:42 GMT - 08/24/2010
agadir Anis 01:06 GMT August 24, 2010
dear friend,tellme about this long entry 80.685 target 81.285 stop 20pips...than short cadjpy entry 81.285 target 80.20 stop 81.885...than long gbpjpy 130.85 target 139.35 stop 129.85....advice me....happy trade,
agadir Anis 01:06:34 GMT - 08/24/2010
Here is another example: As long as AUDUSD is not able to break higher then eurusd and gbpusd will be pressured to the downside. why because :
it does not take genius to figure it out and as long as AUDusd remains pressured then eurusd and gbpusd shall follow suit.
agadir anis 00:47:17 GMT - 08/24/2010
sorry, I meant I am not here to pretend that I know. No one knows but that can help me remove confusion.
Yes, you can track interbank activity. For example: if market is to send usdjpy higher, what do you think is possible scenarios. a rally in chfjpy first sends usdjpy higher. usdchf can remain dormant. by examining moves on these two constitutent pairs, you get a feel for what interbank is trying to accomplish on a pair. I learned that by observation. I am here to tell you that I know, rather that gives me a view of what is to happen most likely. Hope I answered your question.
Tokyo Yumi 00:30:28 GMT - 08/24/2010
Answer specifically how you are able to track Interbank activity and careful how you answer this question because it is coming from someone who does have knowledge about this specific topic.....
agadir anis 23:53:15 GMT - 08/23/2010
you are very welcome dear Rana. You have basic ingriends now to succeed so that we all succeed and demystify the whole myth of forex trading. I know how ambitously you want to succeed. you can build a whole picture with those formula and you will not have confusion trading forex anymore.
anis agadir 23:46:25 GMT - 08/23/2010
you can remove all the confusion on forex by tracking moves on dealers and interbank activity in key pairs. you will be profitable, you will handle stress and above all you will know that you are on the right side of the trade here is those formulas:
and so on and so forth
here is the best one ( to gauge stength of risk aversion)
tokyo rana 23:40:35 GMT - 08/23/2010
agadir anis 23:36 GMT August 23, 2010
dear friend,many thanx...im very careful since friday...still no position taken...happy trade,
agadir anis 23:36:57 GMT - 08/23/2010
by the way, the can apply that formula to all other jpy pairs and to all chf pairs to devise appropriate entries and exits and to remove all the stress inherent in monitoring just one pair.
agadir anis 23:24:43 GMT - 08/23/2010
yes, you need to be careful with eurjpy. eurusd is prone to get hammered and I expect market to shoot for 1.25. However, if you want to go short I said wait until usdjpy confirms weakness and since eurusd is weakning already you can rest assured eurjpy will tank big times why:
because eurjpy= usdjpy*eurusd
tokyo rana 23:12:47 GMT - 08/23/2010
agadir anis 23:06 GMT August 23, 2010
eurjpy looks very danger so no comment it can retrace 100% bfore any down move...happy trade,
tokyo rana 23:10:58 GMT - 08/23/2010
agadir anis 23:06 GMT August 23, 2010
dear friend,trading is never can predict 100%...that is just estimated targets today ithink....happy trade,
agadir anis 23:06:20 GMT - 08/23/2010
yes, that is surely the right setup. However, I don't advise you to go short now because chfjpy shall retrace to 82_82.25. Wait until tokyo opens to get confirmation clues on what tokyo will do to chfjpy. If chfjpy tanks after tokyo opens then you can go short jpy pairs, the weakest of them apparently is eurjpy.
tokyo rana 22:48:30 GMT - 08/23/2010
AGADIR anis 22:31 GMT August 23, 2010
ithink short all jpy pairs today...
later from these levels can long with stops 50 to 100pips....
AGADIR anis 22:31:45 GMT - 08/23/2010
Daily trend on chfjpy is turning bearish. In case chfjpy gets hammered at tokyo open usdjpy shall weaken. I am expecting to market to tear that 85 wall once for good. However, A nice spike in USDCHF shall contain usdjpy in range 85.50-84.
Singapore stan 22:12:26 GMT - 08/23/2010
BuyUSDJPY Entry: 85.15 Target: 85.35 Stop: 84.90
Hoping for support from Japan.
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