GBP – That 2790 survived so far increases probabilities of a back fill toward 2850 and if that survives then down it goes. If 2770 hits and lingers this pair is likely to target 1.2700 in my view. Anything in the middle of that is horseplay in my view. It is a matter of the market finding fair value with all factors considered. Smaller picture the activity is on the sell side, a bit larger picture it is still bid.
Don’t forget to check the Economic Calendar
GBPUSD 1-HOUR CHART
The GBPUSD chart speaks for itself. All you need to look at is one level.
1.28 briefly tested, will dictate whether this retreat turns into a correction.
Trendlines on both sides form a wedge closer to the downside but so far untouched.
UK jobs report and US CPI on Tuesday so a fasten your seatbelt day
A bit different approach to USDJPY
As major supports behind this Up trend are far and away right now -143.250 & 139.000, only approach to trading USDJPY is intraday – time frames from 1h and bellow.
But if we look at it on this Daily chart, the following can be concluded – if in next two days USD finds the strength to go above 148.800 (lots, I know we will be looking at the renewed and even stronger Rally Up.
However, ” If” is not a reliable trading tool, but “Wait and see” comes as a good strategy , so we should accept that approach…
In the mean time, as long as USD is on the defensive, Short it on the smaller time frames given Sell signals , be fast and do not be greedy .
Read earlier that Claude Erb, a former commodities portfolio manager at TCW Group, plots bitcoin’s actual price over the past decade along with Erb’s application of Metcalfe’s Law with the result being a fair value of $35,000 for Bitcoin.
Side note, some ideas for orders I tried to post earlier but it would not post for some reason – buy side AudChf 5790 – Buy side AudCad 8900 – Sell side GbpChf 1260 – GbpUsd Buy side 2812 or lower – AudUsd buy side 6594 or lower – UsdJpy sell side 147.10 or higher –
EURUSD 4-Hour Chart – Retracement or Consolidation?
The market is trying to retrace but pressures only build if 1.0917 is firmly taken out (so far just briefly). If broken there is little on this chart until 1.0867 (suggests 1.09 will be important). Needs to stay below 1.0946 to keep a retracement risk alive
On the upside, if the retracement fails to build steam, look for consolidation unless Friday’s high at 1.0981 is taken out.
Expect cautious trading ahead of the next key event risk, US CPI on Tuesday.
What Is Consolidation?
Consolidation in technical analysis refers to an asset oscillating between a well-defined pattern of trading levels. Consolidation is generally interpreted as market indecisiveness, which ends when the asset’s price moves above or below the trading pattern…. Investopedia
In simple terms, it means trading within well-defined support and resistance levels until either side breaks.
A timely article posted this weekend i n our blog
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