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Anyhow…. CHF weakness, Yeah carry works in favor of chf weakness. Behind that is SNB recent communiques indicating chf strength has served its purpose. Maybe they haven’t fully embraced that they want immediate weakness but call it a suggestion. Behind the behind is that Swiss inflation is lowest among the big boys coming around or below 2% which puts them ahead in the crawling race to shift policy. CHF/JPY is a trade a lot of people are watching (selling chf buying jpy to be clear). BOJ when it gets around to it most likely will move in the opposite direction by backing away from yield curve control.
Levels to watch in the absence of being able to post a chart ->
eur/chf the downward sloping trendline on the weekly that currently comes around .9550.
usd/chf -> weekly .9200 daily .8820-.8850
See how….
This was posted by one of our long time GV members right after we launched our redesigned website less than 2 weeks ago
Good evening…
Finding your way on an empty road is sorta spooky. It’s kinda like EUR/USD that way.
It’ll be easier to navigate this place after more people sign on and post some messages.
DLRx 103.96
Fed Governor Kugler backs caution on rates – cnbc
““At some point, the continued cooling of inflation and labor markets may make it appropriate to reduce the target range for the federal funds rate,” Kugler added. “On the other hand, if progress on disinflation stalls, it may be appropriate to hold the target range steady at its current level for longer to ensure continued progress on our dual mandate.”
right adrainna & thks !
for dollar to get new uP oomph looks like puppy be needing new additional energy vectors in the form of posi-data
hello orwell
–
* Nicknamed the “Broker Butcher,” Wu Qing was previously the acting vice mayor of China’s major financial hub Shanghai and served nearly two years as chairman of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
* His predecessor Yi Huiman took the mantle of the CSRC in 2019, tasked to undertake a spate of sweeping capital markets reforms.
China appoints ‘Broker Butcher’ Wu Qing as new chairman of securities regulator cnbc & other wires
“In a time of Universal Deceit – telling the truth is a revolutionary act.” – Orwell
–
fwiw:
Whatever it takes? There are those that are concerned about broader stability or systematic risks, especially if disruptions spread to financial markets and the real economy. Interest rates are also likely to remain high with the Fed taking a March cut off the table, while the long inversion of the yield curve isn’t helpful for banks that borrow short to lend long. A full contagion and CRE crisis could see thousands of banks fail under a worst-case scenario, according to SA Investing Group Leader Avi Gilburt, who explores non–owner–occupied property loans, office building vacancies and default rates in a recent Seeking Alpha article. (12 comments)
srce: Seeking Alpha
concerned yellen says stress is manageable
–
“US Property Fears Send German Lender Bonds Plunging
(Bloomberg) — Losses in the commercial property market, which have already sent some banks in New York and Japan into a tailspin, moved to Europe’s biggest economy this week.
probably a good idea to wait a bit more before looking to buy some bottoms
water carrier jeff cox :
“Fed’s Neel Kashkari expects only two or three interest rate cuts this year”
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/07/feds-neel-kashkari-expects-only-two-or-three-interest-rate-cuts-this-year.html
Sitting here today, I would say, two or three cuts would seem to be appropriate for me right now,” he said during a CNBC “Squawk Box” interview. “But again, I don’t want to prejudge things, but that’s, that’s my gut, based on the data we have so far.” said the 2024 non-voter
What is the predominant market-driving theme this NY morning ?
10-yr 4.073%
euro 1.0771
– Res 1.0788, Sup 1.0740/30
I am biased. Looking for opps to sell as long as puppy holds 1.0810 Res
on deck
—
11:00 – kugler
11:30 – collins
12:30 – barkin
13:00 – yellen’s dept peddles off 24bln of 10-yr paper
14:00 – bowman
15:00 – US consumer credit
15:15 – ramache
16:30 – nordstrom
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What is Risk Management in Trading – Forex Forum
For any trader, managing risk is essential to success. But what exactly is risk management? In this blog post, we’ll explore what risk management is and how it can help you become a successful trader.
We’ll also look at some common mistakes that traders make when it comes to managing their risks. After all, if you’re not managing risk appropriately, you’re just a gambler. So if you’re ready to learn more about risk management, read on!
What is Risk Management in Trading?
Risk management is the process of assessing, controlling, and managing risk within a trading portfolio. This involves defining trading goals and understanding potential losses that could occur as part of the trading process.
It also includes identifying potential risks, such as market volatility or sudden changes in the market, understanding how these risks can affect your profits, and taking steps to limit potential losses.
In general, risk management should be a priority for all traders. By properly managing your risks and using effective strategies, you can minimize potential losses and increase the chances of making successful trades.
Common Mistakes When Managing Risk in Trading
Unfortunately, many traders make mistakes when it comes to managing their risks. Here are some of the most common mistakes that traders make when it comes to risk management:
Not Setting a Trading Plan:
Many traders don’t have a detailed trading plan, which is a key component of risk management. Without a trading plan, traders are more likely to take risks that could have otherwise been avoided. It’s important to establish clear trading goals and a plan for how to reach those goals.
Not Understanding Risk:
Many traders fail to understand the risks associated with certain trades, which can lead to serious losses if they don’t take the time to research and understand the risks involved. It’s important to have a thorough understanding of the markets you’re trading in before taking any risks.
Not Taking Advantage of Stop Losses:
Stop losses are an essential component of risk management, as they help to limit potential losses in the event of a market downturn or sudden changes in the market. However, many traders don’t take advantage of stop losses and end up taking larger risks than necessary.
Over-Trading:
Over-trading is a common mistake made by many traders. This involves taking too many trades, which can lead to losses if the market turns against you. Look, all traders love the price action. It’s exciting to take a position and watch your P/L go up and down. But don’t become addicted to the price action for the sake of just having a position. It’s important to only take trades when the setup is right and avoid over trading.
Not Diversifying Risk:
Diversification is another important part of risk management. By diversifying your trades, you can spread out risk and limit potential losses if the market turns against you.
Why is Risk Management Important in Trading?
Risk management is a critical factor in success when trading in the markets. It involves understanding and controlling what could potentially impact your trades and actively analyzing scenarios that may occur.
Without proper risk management, traders are leaving themselves vulnerable to potential losses which could be catastrophic for their investments.
Good risk management also allows traders to effectively assess opportunities and make better decisions that take into account volatility or leading indicators of future market performance.
Simply put, risk management can provide peace of mind so traders can enjoy the highs of profitable investments while minimizing losses when markets start to dip.
What are Some Common Risk Management Strategies?
Common risk management strategies used by traders include setting stop-loss orders, limiting capital exposure, and diversifying investments to minimize volatility.
Another essential approach for traders is to set predetermined targets for both profits and losses to help stabilize your exposure. To further limit potential losses and maximize gains, traders should always be aware of economic news and other world events that might affect the market.
How to Implement Risk Management in your Trading Plan
Implementing effective risk management into your trading plan is incredibly important for successful and profitable trading. It can help you to control the amount of draws you take in any given trade, and it can also protect against large losses which could potentially wipe out your entire trading account.
A good risk management plan should include determining the amount of capital at risk on each trade, setting predetermined stop-losses to limit downside exposure, and having a strict, disciplined approach towards minimizing losses:
never increasing position size
never risking more than you are comfortable with, and always controlling potential risk-reward ratios.
Taking the time to set up a comprehensive yet flexible risk management plan will put you in a better position when it comes to positive returns in the long run.
Risk management is an important part of trading. It allows you to trade with less stress and more confidence. There are many different risk management strategies, so it is important to find one that fits your trading style.
Proper risk management can help you make money in the long run by preserving your capital and preventing you from making careless mistakes.
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