Barkin says
– Is open to the idea that interest rates were not as restrictive as many think.
”It’s too soon to tell,”
– In this case, the best thing the Fed can do is ”proceed deliberately. That’s what I’m doing,” barkin
Waller Says
– Fed Getting ‘Closer’ to Cutting Rates, Not There Yet
– “Current data are consistent with achieving a soft landing, and I will be looking for data over the next couple months to buttress this view,” “While I don’t believe we have reached our final destination, I do believe we are getting closer to the time when a cut in the policy rate is warranted.”
– whether you go in September or November or December with a rate cut really doesn’t matter unless there’s some big shock that hits the economy in that timespan,”
I , for myself, give more weight to waller. you may feel something else
USDCHF Daily
My Magical ( and historical at the same time ) Trend Lines proved right….once again.
So nuff of self patting myself – here are the levels we are looking at :
Supports : 0.88250 , 0.87300 , 0.86350 & 0.85600
Resistances : 0.88950 , 0.89450 , 0.89750 & 0.90000
As long as we stay Above 0.85600, USDCHF will have a chance to reach higher then 0.92 , even as high as 0.94800 & 0.96850 .
USDJPY Daily
At the time when I said that 162.00 would be a logical point where BoJ would intervene ( if at all ) , most were probably thinking that I lost it…
160.00 was a mythical level and we were jumping between 152 and 156.
So what do we have here now – well, The Double Top – market doesn’t need BoJ to understand what it means.
But do not trash USDJPY just like that – there are so many levels to be taken out, before we can even dream of Bearish USDJPY….
I have drawn Fibo levels on this chart, just to show you how far the simple correction can go.
If it stops falling short of 50% retracement, next thing you know we’ll be looking at levels around 175.00
So many fundamental things are happening right now, and there is no way to predict what’s gonna happen in the near future, not to mention several years from now, but I am not convinced that USDJPY Rally is over, yet. Time will tell….
going … going …
Biden shares conditions for possible withdraw from US presidential elections
“in an interview with CBS News, has stated that he might withdraw from this year’s presidential election due to health issues”
“If there had some medical condition that emerged, if the doctors came to me and said you got this problem, that problem,” – joe
Pauses below EURUSD 1.0950 and GBPUSD 1.3050, AUDUSD brief blip above .6750 and USDCAD pause above 1.3650 means it is time to revisit
My Favorite Trading Secret: The Power of the 50 Level
EURUSD WEEKLY CHART – 1.0981 on the radar?
Except for the opening year high at 1.1044, EURUSD has been in a tight 1.0600-1.0981 range.
So you can see why 1.0981 is important, exposed while above 1.0920 and also blocks 1.10.
Looking ahead, if 1.09, which has traded 5 days in a row, does not trade tomorrow it would send a bullish sign.
Note the 2023 range was less than 10 big figs, the high being 1.1272
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
The dramatic switch to U.S. small cap stocks over the past week went into overdrive on Tuesday as interest rate cut and election fever combine, but world markets more broadly are getting nervy of the prospect of Donald Trump’s return to the White House.
In a series of interviews around this week’s Republican convention, Trump set out several of his policy priorities around tax cuts, tariff rises and foreign policy.
Morning Bid: Small caps soar in catch-up rotation, Trump jars Taiwan
GBPUSD WEEKLY CHART – 1.30 BREACHED
I had to go to a weekly chart to show the next key level at 1.3141.
In fact, this chart has not changed so it was easy to post the same levels I have been showing:
1,2893 break exposed 1.3141 as the next target.
Now, needs to hold above 1.30 to keep a strong bid targeting 1.3141, Below 1.30 would cool the risk.
Catalyst: UK CPI
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