THIS WEEK’S MARKET-MOVING EVENTS (all days local)
The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to hold policy steady on Tuesday for a sixth straight meeting as is the Reserve Bank of India on Thursday for a ninth straight meeting. Both banks continue to face above-target inflation.
Chinese merchandise trade estimated for release on Wednesday is expected to show a steady and prodigious surplus with a strong rise for exports.
German manufacturing orders on Tuesday and industrial production on Wednesday are both expected to rebound from prior declines. Eurozone retail sales on Tuesday are seen flat.
A moderate rebound for Canadian employment with, however, an uptick in the unemployment rate is expected for Friday.
Econoday
XAUUSD –Gold Weekly Chart
Supports : 2415.00 , 2390.00 & 2295.00
Resistances : 2485.00 , 2525.00 & 2615.00
Gold is in a Very Bullish Formation, but…. continue reading
Early sunday ahead of week trading opening
AXIOS – us news portal whose Greek name means “worthy”
Soooo …. fwiw, are U prepared to trade :
Top U.S. general in the Middle East as U.S. and Israel prepare for possible Iran attack – axios
“Three U.S. and Israeli officials said they expect Iran to attack Israel as early as Monday.”
On Saturday, President Biden was asked by reporters whether he thinks Iran will stand down.
“I hope so. I don’t know,”, he said.
sleepy joe may not know (surprise?) BUT
GOLD and / or Brent know
BTC DAILY CHART – 60K
Having failed to renew 70K BTC is challenging 60K
This is the pivotal level as it wil dictate whether the current range is 60-70K or 55-65K
In any case the price action is disqppointing to the bull side as BTC has failed to benefit as a safe haven during this period of risk off.
Daily pattern is 5 red candles in a row, see how it ends on Sunday.
Refer to this chart for key levels.
Given that the EURUSD helped lead Friday’s USD selloff, it pays to revisit this article
Why is the EURUSD Referred to as the Anti-Dollar?
Hard landing
Wikipedia
A hard landing occurs when an aircraft or spacecraft hits the ground with a greater vertical speed and force than in a normal landing.
Lousy Jobs Report Forces Fed to Reckon With Hard Landing
Policymakers have been focused squarely on inflation. Now they need to worry about the labor market, too.
By Nick Timiraos, Aug. 3, 2024 in WSJ
Now only need to define “normal landing”
– I think … it means that dishes and cups do NOT come tumbling out of the cupboards.
adding to “detailed preview”
–
Gooslbee, on Friday, p1ssed on the hair-on-fire screamers for intra-meeting 50pt cut
Aug 2 (Reuters) – Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Austan Goolsbee said on Friday the U.S. central bank should move in a “steady” way, a mild pushback against the rush of market bets that the Fed will react to a report of weak July jobs data with a bigger-than-usual half-point rate cut in September.
“We never want to overreact to any one month’s numbers,” Goolsbee said in a Bloomberg TV interview. Even so, he said, “Our absolute goal now is we want to settle at something like full employment, not blow through normal and deteriorate.” …/..
Lets see … who ll prevail and trump
There is a light US economic calendar after the news deluge last week. This is why the focus will be on US stocks in the week ahead after last week when…
Rotation from US stocks into US Treasuries on recession fears
Stocks fall => bond yields fall => US weakens
For the week ahead see detailed previews:
Newsquawk.com Week Ahead 5th-9th August: Highlights include ISM ServicesPMI, RBA, BoJ SoO,BoC Minutes, and Chinese inflation
XAUUSD – Gold
If it manages to close tonight above 2420.00 ( and opens on Monday as well – so without a gap ), it will have another chance to test the previous high and continues up.
However, close below 2400.00 would be quite bearish…
I have mentioned a possibility of double top day ago, and Monday will give us the answer….
EURUSD Daily
End of week development
Support at 1.08500
Resistance at 1.09500 & 1.09650
I was asked about Bull/Bear Traps like a day ago, and here we had one…a Bear trap.
If you check weekly chart, you’ll see a very Bullish pattern creation and it should show its strength from the early beginning of the next week.
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